That's pretty elegant. I don't think you even need the whole China/NK angle which is a little farfetched.
Except that it is opening another can of worms... and, of course, it is just taking our post 9/11 situation and retrofit it several years before, but conveniently ignoring the troubles in the Caucasus, trans Caucasus, and central Asia. Because what happened in Iraq post 2003 was in large part tied to the rising 'militant Islam' trend, something that is not even touched (rightly so, I must add) in the current timeline.
What is happening inside the URSS in this case? They would surely have their own problems, and probably fighting their own internal quagmires. Why going to fight the great satan in Iraq, when you can fight the little satan at home? Funnily enough it would probably creates some common ground between NATO and Moscow, and possibly even Beijing (they have their own problems there too).
Plus China invading Taiwan as long Soviet Union is still a threat is again silly.
What I found incredibly funny of the whole situation... several people pointed out flaws... then people started to propose quick fixes... that just increased the flaws. It starting to looks like an... LCS... and we are also told, like some geniuses in the USN does... that no worries with little fixes it will work. Yet the LCSs are being phased out in favor of an Italian designed real frigate...
Trash the timeline, trash the background, trash the war and start over and write one for Twilight 2000 and not for Soviet Victory in WW3.
Brutal, uncompromising, a certainly harsh... but not without truth.
What I see is a 1st Edition Timeline that made sense at start, but ended up in silliness with the European free for all. A 2nd Edition that tried to flip backward to incorporate changes in the real world but without being persuading. A 3rd Edition so bad that everyone stayed away from it... and a 4th Edition that to fix real and perceived problems in the timeline creates plenty of new ones...
I know I am not known for my diplomatic skills... but I reiterate my question, had anyone of the writers tried to wargame the War or even tabulated order of battles at start?
I see a problem in the method used...